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@Jeroen said:
I’d say there are two ways AI can develop. One is the limitations of LLMs end up being exposed and the AI hype bubble does burst. The second is LLMs will prove to be a stepping stone to reasoning models, and we will have artificial general intelligence in a few more years. Which of the two it will be is really difficult to predict, you’d need to look in detail at the work being done on reasoning models at OpenAI, Deepmind and other firms at the cutting edge.

This my feeling too, I listened to an interview of Cal Newport today and he promoted a relatively more rosey picture. Saying that despite large efforts at increased compute thrown at AI the gains haven't been so great. So at least in the short term AGI isn't as likely, but that also means we may be facing an economic bubble that is about to burst, similar to the early .com bubble.

I’d say there are two ways AI can develop. One is the limitations of LLMs end up being exposed and the AI hype bubble does burst. The second is LLMs will prove to be a stepping stone to reasoning models, and we will have artificial general intelligence in a few more years. Which of the two it will be is really difficult to predict, you’d need to look in detail at the work being done on reasoning models at OpenAI, Deepmind and other firms at the cutting edge.

For a radical non-violence, the 20th Century has left us a few good examples. Gandhi, Martin Luther King Jr, the Dalai Lama, Thich Nhat Hanh. Good company to move in.

In a way, I feel like Buddhism tells me to move inward, and not concern myself so much with the outside world. I have heard, you should be concerned with achieving for yourself the ending of suffering before you try to help others.

But if you look at the likes of Thich Nhat Hanh and the Dalai Lama, they are very much in the world, trying to help people achieve peace. I remember that Thich Nhat Hanh gave a retreat for a mixed group of Palestinians and Israelis, it had a beautiful energy.

I hear the word illiberalism used often to describe the sort of mood the world seems to be entering into. In the sense of being opposite of authoritarian sentiment; dialogue, pluralism, secularism, rationality, humanism. And yeah, I agree that it isn't a solely partisan problem, its across the board to some extent or another.

I also prefer to use the word extremism. The way I think of it as radical is something outside the norm and extremism is taking things too far often to a harmful, destructive way.

Violence and Disruption in Society
A Study of the Early Buddhist Texts
by
Elizabeth J. Harris

https://www.accesstoinsight.org/lib/authors/harris/wheel392.html

All tremble at violence,
All fear death;
Comparing oneself with others
One should neither kill nor cause others to kill.
Dhp. v. 129

Victory breeds hatred,
The defeated live in pain.
Happily the peaceful live,
Giving up victory and defeat.

Dhp. v. 201